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2021-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 ✗ (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 36 3-8 1-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Jamal Murray * 36 7-17 2-5 4-4 3 5 1 1 20 - -
Nikola Jokic * 34 6-16 0-0 1-2 10 6 0 0 13 - -
Paul Millsap * 31 3-13 0-5 0-0 10 1 2 0 6 - -
JaMychal Green * 28 5-10 2-6 2-2 8 0 1 0 14 - -
Monte Morris 25 7-10 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 16 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 19 3-10 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 10 1-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Facundo Campazzo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Markus Howard 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bol Bol 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
R.J. Hampton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Zeke Nnaji 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Vlatko Cancar 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 12-19 2-5 1-2 10 10 0 1 27 - -
Anthony Davis * 33 5-8 0-1 3-6 9 2 3 2 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 7-9 2-2 5-5 2 4 0 0 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 4-7 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 4-9 2-5 1-3 3 3 2 2 11 - -
Montrezl Harrell 24 6-8 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 8-12 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 1 17 - -
Alex Caruso 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter