Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -31 (116-147). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 39 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 36 | 14-21 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 31 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 29 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 27 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 24 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 14 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 31 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 25 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 13 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| James Johnson | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - | |
| Josh Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter