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2021-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 50.5% 49.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - ✗
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 ✗ (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -16 (105-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 38 8-23 4-9 4-4 3 3 0 1 24 - -
Robert Covington * 34 4-9 1-4 0-0 6 1 4 0 9 - -
Rodney Hood * 34 7-14 2-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 16 - -
Enes Kanter * 33 7-14 0-0 3-4 18 1 0 0 17 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 31 8-14 3-4 3-4 4 5 1 2 22 - -
CJ Elleby 31 5-9 1-5 4-6 7 1 1 2 15 - -
Anfernee Simons 18 4-9 2-7 4-5 1 2 1 0 14 - -
Harry Giles III 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 4 - -
Keljin Blevins 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Furkan Korkmaz * 37 5-14 1-7 2-2 5 2 2 0 13 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 14-21 0-1 9-9 5 1 1 1 37 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 5-14 0-2 2-2 11 5 0 0 12 - -
Danny Green * 26 1-5 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Seth Curry * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Shake Milton 24 4-9 0-2 4-5 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Tyrese Maxey 20 5-8 2-4 3-4 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Dwight Howard 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Tony Bradley 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter