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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 75.0% 25.0% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 76.5% 23.5% -6.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-26 2-10 3-3 9 10 2 0 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 7-18 2-6 5-6 3 4 0 1 21 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 3-5 2-4 3-4 4 4 0 1 11 - -
Jeff Teague * 23 1-6 1-3 4-4 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Tristan Thompson * 22 7-9 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 17 - -
Tremont Waters 23 1-8 0-3 1-2 2 5 2 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 18 4-4 0-0 1-2 8 2 2 1 9 - -
Javonte Green 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 14 1-3 1-3 2-4 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 38 5-16 3-10 2-2 11 0 1 0 15 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 9-17 2-5 6-6 1 11 2 0 26 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 7-17 1-7 9-10 5 6 0 1 24 - -
Richaun Holmes * 30 3-8 0-1 1-1 6 0 0 1 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 19 4-8 1-2 0-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 30 8-15 5-9 0-0 3 4 2 0 21 - -
Cory Joseph 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside 17 4-7 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Glenn Robinson III 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter