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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +22 (123-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 32 4-12 0-7 0-0 4 3 1 3 8 - -
Devin Booker * 31 9-20 0-4 7-8 4 2 0 0 25 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 6-9 0-0 1-1 11 2 0 1 13 - -
Cameron Johnson * 26 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Chris Paul * 25 4-7 1-2 1-1 0 4 1 0 10 - -
Frank Kaminsky 17 3-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 2 6 - -
E'Twaun Moore 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Langston Galloway 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Abdel Nader 13 3-6 2-5 3-4 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Jae Crowder 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jevon Carter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 6 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 5 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 32 7-17 2-5 7-7 4 6 0 2 23 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 12-14 1-1 3-4 7 6 1 0 28 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 29 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Steven Adams * 28 4-10 0-0 3-4 13 4 1 0 11 - -
Lonzo Ball * 24 7-13 4-7 0-0 6 1 1 0 18 - -
Josh Hart 22 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20 3-10 0-5 0-0 2 5 3 0 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 19 1-3 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 1 4 - -
JJ Redick 17 3-7 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Nicolo Melli 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter