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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 32 3-7 2-3 0-0 11 3 2 0 8 - -
Anthony Edwards * 31 6-14 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 14 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 8-20 1-7 3-4 2 5 0 3 20 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 12-18 4-8 1-1 6 1 1 0 29 - -
Josh Okogie * 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 - -
Ricky Rubio 27 4-10 0-1 0-0 7 7 1 0 8 - -
Jaden McDaniels 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 - -
Jaylen Nowell 16 3-9 2-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 2 - -
Jake Layman 10 4-8 1-4 2-2 0 0 1 1 11 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 10-19 0-0 10-11 8 6 0 0 30 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 9-10 0-0 1-3 8 1 1 4 19 - -
Dejounte Murray * 30 6-16 3-6 0-0 11 6 2 0 15 - -
Keldon Johnson * 21 2-9 0-2 2-3 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 21 1-10 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Patty Mills 26 3-8 1-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Derrick White 25 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 8 0 1 10 - -
Devin Vassell 19 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Trey Lyles 13 3-4 1-2 2-4 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Drew Eubanks 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter