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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 ✓ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - ✗
Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✗

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (104-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 31 8-24 1-8 2-2 3 3 2 0 19 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 31 3-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Eric Gordon * 27 8-15 3-9 3-3 3 4 2 0 22 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Christian Wood * 22 3-7 2-4 0-0 6 3 3 0 8 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 25 4-10 2-6 0-2 5 1 1 1 10 - -
Danuel House Jr. 25 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Sterling Brown 22 4-8 3-6 0-0 6 3 2 2 11 - -
Ben McLemore 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Mason Jones 11 1-3 0-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Rodions Kurucs 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Theo Maledon * 35 2-12 1-5 1-2 3 4 6 1 6 - -
Darius Bazley * 34 6-13 2-6 4-4 12 2 0 2 18 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 32 5-9 0-1 6-6 9 1 3 0 16 - -
Al Horford * 29 6-10 2-4 3-3 6 3 2 0 17 - -
Luguentz Dort * 9 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Justin Jackson 29 2-9 0-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Kenrich Williams 23 7-8 3-3 2-4 6 2 0 0 19 - -
Isaiah Roby 18 6-9 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Mike Muscala 16 2-7 2-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Darius Miller 10 0-1 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 1 3 - -

* = starter