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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - ✗

Actual: Chicago Bulls -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 11-20 5-7 0-2 6 6 2 0 27 - -
Elfrid Payton * 34 9-19 0-2 2-2 8 4 0 1 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 8-16 0-1 1-3 7 2 0 0 17 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 28 3-5 0-0 2-2 11 0 2 0 8 - -
Reggie Bullock * 27 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Nerlens Noel 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 3 4 - -
Alec Burks 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 - -
Austin Rivers 17 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 3-7 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Obi Toppin 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 10-21 0-7 4-4 5 7 0 0 24 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 35 3-8 0-4 3-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 32 6-12 0-3 0-1 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Coby White * 32 4-13 2-8 3-4 3 6 1 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 9-11 0-1 1-3 4 2 5 1 19 - -
Garrett Temple 23 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 19 5-10 3-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 6 - -

* = starter