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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (116-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 37 8-20 1-5 10-10 8 14 2 1 27 - -
Josh Richardson * 35 3-11 1-7 7-8 6 2 2 2 14 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 10-20 1-6 3-3 11 2 1 0 24 - -
Maxi Kleber * 32 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 2 8 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 28 5-10 3-7 0-0 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 30 8-15 5-10 1-2 4 0 0 0 22 - -
Jalen Brunson 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Trey Burke 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
James Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 39 16-21 3-4 0-0 12 1 0 0 35 - -
Kevin Huerter * 38 8-15 4-8 1-1 5 10 2 0 21 - -
Trae Young * 35 8-18 3-8 2-3 4 9 1 0 21 - -
Clint Capela * 29 5-8 0-0 0-2 13 2 2 3 10 - -
Cam Reddish * 22 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Solomon Hill 26 0-2 0-2 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Danilo Gallinari 20 4-11 2-8 9-9 2 2 0 1 19 - -
Tony Snell 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter