Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 14-25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 28 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 29 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 25 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 21 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 22 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 7-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 9 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Adams | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter