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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 ✗ (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.0% 35.0% - ✓
Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 72.7% 27.3% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -22 (99-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 34 13-20 8-9 2-3 4 6 0 0 36 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 31 9-14 3-6 3-4 6 3 1 0 24 - -
Nicolas Batum * 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Reggie Jackson * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 - -
Serge Ibaka * 20 6-8 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 2 14 - -
Ivica Zubac 27 3-8 0-1 4-4 16 1 2 3 10 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 23 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Lou Williams 22 5-8 2-3 3-4 3 3 1 1 15 - -
Luke Kennard 21 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Amir Coffey 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Terance Mann 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 38 11-21 1-1 4-4 1 5 1 0 27 - -
Darius Garland * 34 11-18 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 23 - -
Taurean Prince * 28 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -
Andre Drummond * 22 4-13 0-0 5-7 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Jarrett Allen 25 3-8 0-0 1-1 9 5 1 2 7 - -
Lamar Stevens 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 7 - -
Dylan Windler 19 1-3 0-2 2-3 5 2 1 2 4 - -
Cedi Osman 18 4-9 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Dean Wade 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter