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2021-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 61.9% 38.1% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% -
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (111-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 8-15 1-4 9-9 6 4 0 0 26 - -
Ben Simmons * 34 7-12 0-0 1-2 6 9 1 1 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 11-18 3-5 9-10 11 2 2 1 34 - -
Danny Green * 30 6-9 4-7 0-1 1 1 2 2 16 - -
Seth Curry * 28 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Shake Milton 18 4-12 1-4 4-4 1 2 0 1 13 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 14 1-2 0-0 3-6 10 1 2 0 5 - -
Tyrese Maxey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 39 4-15 2-11 8-10 1 7 0 0 18 - -
LaMelo Ball * 38 8-16 3-6 3-3 7 3 2 0 22 - -
Gordon Hayward * 37 9-19 2-4 2-2 6 9 0 0 22 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 7-11 2-5 0-0 8 3 0 1 16 - -
Cody Zeller * 31 3-9 0-1 3-4 8 4 0 1 9 - -
Malik Monk 27 4-10 3-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Caleb Martin 17 3-5 2-3 1-2 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 - -
Cody Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter