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2021-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 9-19 4-10 5-6 9 3 0 0 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 8-20 1-6 1-1 10 4 0 1 18 - -
Kemba Walker * 30 6-18 3-9 4-4 7 5 0 0 19 - -
Daniel Theis * 28 3-7 1-2 1-2 11 1 1 1 8 - -
Tristan Thompson * 25 5-5 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 0 13 - -
Grant Williams 27 4-4 3-3 4-6 4 0 0 2 15 - -
Javonte Green 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Jeff Teague 17 3-6 1-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Semi Ojeleye 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Robert Williams III 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 38 12-21 7-14 7-7 11 8 3 0 38 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 38 6-16 1-8 2-5 2 3 0 1 15 - -
Draymond Green * 36 1-7 0-3 0-0 11 7 2 2 2 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 26 5-11 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 26 6-9 3-3 1-1 2 1 1 1 16 - -
Kent Bazemore 17 3-4 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 10 - -
Damion Lee 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Eric Paschall 14 1-4 0-0 3-6 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Mychal Mulder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter