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2021-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 ✓ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% - ✓
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -15 (108-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 37 17-23 11-14 9-9 3 2 3 3 54 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 4-11 0-2 4-4 5 8 1 0 12 - -
Kyle Lowry * 34 4-11 3-8 3-5 10 10 4 0 14 - -
Aron Baynes * 32 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Norman Powell * 28 7-15 4-9 5-5 2 2 4 0 23 - -
Chris Boucher 18 2-3 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 1 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 5 2 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Johnson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Watson 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 37 9-19 2-7 1-1 18 4 0 0 21 - -
Cole Anthony * 30 7-12 1-3 1-1 7 2 1 0 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 29 7-15 1-5 6-8 5 4 0 2 21 - -
Gary Clark * 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 1 3 - -
James Ennis III * 19 4-6 1-2 1-1 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 23 1-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Dwayne Bacon 21 5-10 4-6 1-1 5 1 0 0 15 - -
Jordan Bone 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 - -
Chuma Okeke 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 10 - -
Khem Birch 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Mo Bamba 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter