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2021-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.6% 45.4% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +18 (134-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 2-10 0-1 6-6 1 5 2 1 10 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 10-18 2-5 3-3 3 1 3 1 25 - -
Brandon Clarke * 25 4-7 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 0 9 - -
Xavier Tillman * 22 5-10 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 12 - -
Kyle Anderson * 20 2-7 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Desmond Bane 26 6-13 3-6 1-1 3 5 0 0 16 - -
Gorgui Dieng 25 1-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 4-8 1-5 3-3 2 6 0 2 12 - -
Tyus Jones 20 5-10 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
John Konchar 20 3-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 2 0 9 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 35 13-15 2-2 4-6 13 5 2 0 32 - -
Justin Holiday * 31 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 2 10 - -
Myles Turner * 31 9-13 3-6 1-2 11 3 0 5 22 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 28 9-16 2-5 3-3 2 7 1 0 23 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 26 6-9 5-7 2-2 5 3 1 0 19 - -
T.J. McConnell 28 3-7 0-1 0-2 3 7 4 1 6 - -
Doug McDermott 22 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 1-6 1-1 3-6 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Goga Bitadze 6 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 3 - -
JaKarr Sampson 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Edmond Sumner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kelan Martin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter