Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (134-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 23 | 9-15 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 16 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 36 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 18 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter