Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 38 | 14-20 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 31 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 15 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter