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2021-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✗ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✗
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (109-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 40 8-14 5-9 3-3 8 4 1 1 24 - -
Buddy Hield * 39 4-16 4-15 4-6 8 3 0 0 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 39 14-24 3-10 7-7 4 12 1 0 38 - -
Richaun Holmes * 33 6-7 0-0 5-7 10 3 0 6 17 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 21 5-12 0-2 0-2 4 1 0 1 10 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 32 2-7 1-4 0-0 11 6 1 0 5 - -
Hassan Whiteside 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Cory Joseph 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Guy 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 36 5-11 2-7 2-4 2 4 0 1 14 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 6-20 1-7 7-8 5 2 1 1 20 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 5-13 2-5 2-2 2 5 3 0 14 - -
Zion Williamson * 30 6-13 1-2 4-4 8 2 2 3 17 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 11 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Josh Hart 31 6-13 1-5 2-2 13 4 2 0 15 - -
Willy Hernangomez 28 6-11 0-1 1-2 11 2 1 0 13 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18 2-8 2-3 1-1 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 15 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter