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2021-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Log Adjusted 33.4% 66.6% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +28 (134-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 3-13 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Nassir Little * 29 11-18 5-7 3-3 6 1 1 2 30 - -
Robert Covington * 27 2-9 1-5 0-0 8 2 2 0 5 - -
Damian Lillard * 27 6-13 2-7 3-3 3 7 1 1 17 - -
Enes Kanter * 25 5-12 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 30 5-15 3-8 2-2 3 5 0 2 15 - -
Carmelo Anthony 18 1-7 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Rodney Hood 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Harry Giles III 16 2-6 0-1 1-1 6 2 0 0 5 - -
CJ Elleby 9 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Keljin Blevins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 29 10-14 2-3 0-0 7 6 3 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 25 8-11 0-0 2-3 4 6 0 1 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 25 5-6 4-4 3-4 5 9 2 0 17 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 18 2-10 1-3 1-2 4 3 2 0 6 - -
Brook Lopez * 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Bobby Portis 23 9-13 3-5 0-1 8 2 2 1 21 - -
Bryn Forbes 18 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 13 - -
D.J. Augustin 17 4-7 4-6 1-2 5 6 1 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-7 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 9 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Sam Merrill 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
D.J. Wilson 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter