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2021-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (115-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 5-18 2-6 3-3 14 4 2 1 15 - -
Cole Anthony * 32 5-10 1-3 5-6 5 6 0 0 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 28 2-12 1-6 6-6 2 3 1 1 11 - -
Aaron Gordon * 22 4-8 2-5 4-6 5 3 1 0 14 - -
James Ennis III * 19 3-5 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 28 1-5 0-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Khem Birch 25 3-7 1-3 1-2 6 0 1 2 8 - -
Gary Clark 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Dwayne Bacon 19 5-10 2-3 1-1 1 1 2 0 13 - -
Mo Bamba 3 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Jordan Bone 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 4-13 2-9 2-2 6 15 2 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 12-23 0-2 6-6 10 3 3 1 30 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 4-12 1-7 0-0 2 5 1 0 9 - -
Aron Baynes * 29 3-6 0-2 2-2 16 1 0 0 8 - -
Terence Davis * 26 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 12 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 21 4-6 1-1 3-4 2 2 0 1 12 - -
Chris Boucher 18 3-8 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Yuta Watanabe 18 3-4 3-3 2-2 1 0 1 3 11 - -
Stanley Johnson 12 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Paul Watson 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter