Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (128-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 26 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 4-13 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarrell Brantley | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Juwan Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Miye Oni | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 17-26 | 4-4 | 9-10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 47 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 25 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter