Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 12-22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter