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2021-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (95-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 7-17 4-11 3-5 7 7 0 1 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 11-25 1-2 4-7 14 2 2 0 27 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 3-8 1-5 5-5 3 7 1 0 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Marc Gasol * 18 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 8-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 3 16 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 4-8 3-7 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 12-18 2-3 4-6 9 3 2 0 30 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 13-19 2-4 0-2 1 3 1 1 28 - -
Daniel Theis * 34 5-11 2-3 2-2 7 1 1 1 14 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 1-12 0-5 2-2 6 4 0 1 4 - -
Marcus Smart * 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 7 2 1 4 - -
Robert Williams III 18 5-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 2 10 - -
Semi Ojeleye 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Teague 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Tristan Thompson 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter