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2021-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -14 (112-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 27 11-13 3-4 2-2 9 0 1 1 27 - -
John Wall * 26 5-12 4-6 1-2 2 9 1 1 15 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 2-6 0-3 1-2 3 2 2 0 5 - -
Victor Oladipo * 24 7-14 4-8 2-2 6 7 0 1 20 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 23 6-8 1-2 0-0 9 0 3 0 13 - -
Danuel House Jr. 27 2-7 2-5 2-2 4 4 1 1 8 - -
Eric Gordon 22 4-9 2-6 4-5 0 4 0 1 14 - -
Sterling Brown 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 8 - -
David Nwaba 15 4-11 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 13 0-2 0-2 4-5 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Rodions Kurucs 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Mason Jones 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 31 5-15 2-7 3-4 5 4 1 2 15 - -
Zion Williamson * 29 11-19 1-2 3-6 7 4 0 1 26 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 6-13 2-8 1-1 4 5 0 0 15 - -
Lonzo Ball * 27 3-8 1-6 0-0 8 4 3 1 7 - -
Steven Adams * 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 32 4-13 1-8 4-6 5 4 3 3 13 - -
Josh Hart 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 3-3 0-0 4-5 5 0 2 0 10 - -
Nicolo Melli 10 1-3 1-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 3-5 2-2 2-4 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 6 2-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter