Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 14-24 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 11-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter