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2021-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - ✗
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 ✗ (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 67.1% 32.9% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -24 (94-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 6-17 2-3 3-4 11 3 1 2 17 - -
Joel Embiid * 26 10-19 1-2 16-18 11 3 1 0 37 - -
Seth Curry * 25 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Ben Simmons * 25 4-10 0-0 3-4 4 7 1 0 11 - -
Danny Green * 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 8 - -
Matisse Thybulle 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 3 2 2 - -
Shake Milton 19 4-12 0-1 5-6 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Dwight Howard 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 3 - -
Tyrese Maxey 9 3-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Tony Bradley 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 30 9-19 3-9 1-1 5 2 0 0 22 - -
Anthony Edwards * 28 5-13 3-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 15 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 25 3-11 1-7 7-7 0 4 1 0 14 - -
Ed Davis * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 - -
Josh Okogie * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels 24 3-8 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 6 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 23 5-5 0-0 1-4 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Jaylen Nowell 23 3-9 1-5 3-4 1 1 0 1 10 - -
Jake Layman 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Ricky Rubio 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter