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2021-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% - ✗
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 ✗ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (131-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 15-27 2-7 6-7 11 5 2 2 38 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 8-17 3-9 3-4 9 5 1 1 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 36 6-17 1-6 3-3 8 8 2 0 16 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 5-8 2-5 4-6 3 0 0 1 16 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 24 4-8 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 7 3 0 1 9 - -
Bobby Portis 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
D.J. Augustin 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Torrey Craig 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 38 2-5 0-0 0-0 20 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 7-15 3-8 11-13 0 4 1 1 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 35 10-20 7-13 0-0 3 8 1 0 27 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 9-21 7-14 0-2 2 4 0 1 25 - -
Zion Williamson * 34 7-13 0-0 7-10 9 7 1 1 21 - -
Josh Hart 24 5-8 3-5 2-3 5 5 1 0 15 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 3-10 0-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 6 - -
Nicolo Melli 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -

* = starter