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2021-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (124-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 39 7-12 5-8 3-3 3 2 1 1 22 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 8-13 4-7 6-6 7 5 0 0 26 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 8-14 3-5 5-7 2 4 1 0 24 - -
Richaun Holmes * 26 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 2 5 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 19 3-8 1-4 0-2 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 33 4-10 1-7 1-1 6 11 1 1 10 - -
Cory Joseph 24 6-9 2-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 16 - -
Hassan Whiteside 19 6-7 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 1 16 - -
Glenn Robinson III 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 11-20 0-1 10-14 4 2 1 0 32 - -
Kyle Lowry * 37 7-17 2-8 1-1 3 6 0 0 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 7-16 3-7 9-10 5 6 4 0 26 - -
Aron Baynes * 23 2-6 1-3 1-2 10 0 1 0 6 - -
Terence Davis * 18 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 1 12 - -
Yuta Watanabe 24 4-5 2-3 2-2 6 2 2 0 12 - -
Stanley Johnson 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 3 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 17 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 3 2 1 7 - -
Chris Boucher 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Matt Thomas 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Paul Watson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter