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2021-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Holiday * 37 2-8 2-8 0-0 1 4 1 0 6 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 8-16 0-1 6-9 11 6 0 0 22 - -
Myles Turner * 36 9-14 2-7 0-0 8 2 1 2 20 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 36 8-20 3-10 2-2 4 8 1 0 21 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 30 4-10 2-4 2-2 5 1 2 2 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 17 5-7 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday 16 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 9 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Edmond Sumner 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 4-12 1-3 2-2 8 6 0 2 11 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 7-8 3-4 2-4 9 3 2 1 19 - -
Devonte' Graham * 32 5-14 4-9 0-0 3 10 0 0 14 - -
Terry Rozier * 32 7-12 5-8 0-0 5 2 1 0 19 - -
Cody Zeller * 25 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 12 - -
LaMelo Ball 29 7-13 0-6 2-3 6 7 2 0 16 - -
Miles Bridges 26 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Bismack Biyombo 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter