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2021-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - ✓
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 ✓ (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 10-20 5-10 2-2 4 4 0 0 27 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 6-11 3-6 1-2 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 25 1-11 0-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Draymond Green * 24 1-7 0-1 0-0 4 6 3 0 2 - -
Kevon Looney * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 - -
James Wiseman 18 2-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Damion Lee 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Eric Paschall 18 6-10 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Brad Wanamaker 17 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore 15 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Mychal Mulder 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Poole 5 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Nico Mannion 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 31 6-10 1-4 7-8 1 5 2 1 20 - -
Cameron Johnson * 30 5-10 3-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 4-8 2-5 6-6 9 3 1 0 16 - -
Chris Paul * 27 6-13 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 13 - -
Deandre Ayton * 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 13 4 1 0 12 - -
Abdel Nader 25 6-15 2-5 2-2 5 3 0 0 16 - -
Frank Kaminsky 24 4-9 1-2 3-4 13 8 1 0 12 - -
Langston Galloway 20 3-5 1-3 1-1 5 3 0 0 8 - -
E'Twaun Moore 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Smith 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter