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2021-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.1 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% -
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +15 (107-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 8-19 4-8 2-3 7 10 1 0 22 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 9-17 3-7 1-1 10 0 0 1 22 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 2-8 1-2 5-7 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Marc Gasol * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 4-10 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Alex Caruso 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 14 5-7 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Markieff Morris 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Devontae Cacok 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 37 5-14 2-4 2-2 3 6 0 0 14 - -
Blake Griffin * 35 8-16 5-10 2-2 3 6 0 0 23 - -
Wayne Ellington * 28 7-12 6-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 20 - -
Delon Wright * 26 3-7 0-2 0-0 8 6 2 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 7-8 0-0 3-3 10 2 0 1 17 - -
Isaiah Stewart 21 2-6 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Derrick Rose 20 6-12 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 14 - -
Josh Jackson 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter