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2021-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +12 (123-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 30 7-18 4-9 7-8 5 1 1 0 25 - -
Naz Reid * 27 6-10 1-2 6-9 7 1 3 5 19 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 1 4 - -
Ricky Rubio * 21 2-7 0-2 1-2 1 5 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie * 17 1-7 0-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Anthony Edwards 32 9-19 5-8 2-2 4 2 3 0 25 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 6 - -
Jake Layman 18 3-6 1-1 0-2 4 0 2 1 7 - -
Jaylen Nowell 15 3-7 2-6 4-4 2 3 0 0 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels 14 1-5 1-4 2-4 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Ed Davis 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Ashton Hagans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 33 6-17 4-11 0-0 6 8 0 0 16 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 8-13 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 19 - -
Draymond Green * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 8 2 0 6 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 24 7-9 2-3 4-4 9 3 2 1 20 - -
Kevon Looney * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 2 - -
James Wiseman 24 9-14 3-3 4-6 6 0 0 2 25 - -
Damion Lee 23 5-6 4-5 3-3 2 0 3 0 17 - -
Mychal Mulder 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 3 - -
Eric Paschall 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Brad Wanamaker 14 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 4 - -
Kent Bazemore 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 3 0 2 1 7 - -
Nico Mannion 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Poole 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter