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2021-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - ✗
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 ✗ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% - ✗
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 14.9% 85.1% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns -5 (97-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 31 6-18 2-7 7-9 7 8 2 2 21 - -
Darius Bazley * 30 4-13 1-8 1-2 7 1 0 0 10 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 5-11 4-8 0-0 1 1 0 1 14 - -
Al Horford * 29 8-12 5-5 0-0 11 2 3 1 21 - -
Theo Maledon * 29 4-7 3-6 0-0 6 2 1 0 11 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 3 7 - -
Hamidou Diallo 18 4-9 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Kenrich Williams 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Mike Muscala 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Roby 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Justin Jackson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 35 2-7 0-0 1-2 14 0 1 0 5 - -
Chris Paul * 34 12-21 3-8 5-5 5 5 1 0 32 - -
Jae Crowder * 32 5-16 4-11 3-4 7 4 2 0 17 - -
Cameron Johnson * 31 3-8 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Mikal Bridges * 31 3-13 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 22 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 1 6 - -
Abdel Nader 18 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 12 - -
E'Twaun Moore 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Frank Kaminsky 12 2-5 0-2 1-1 5 2 0 1 5 - -
Jalen Smith 5 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter