Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (110-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 39 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 11-25 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 28 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter