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2021-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (101-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 5-14 2-8 9-11 4 9 0 2 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 7-19 3-7 0-1 10 1 5 1 17 - -
Patrick Williams * 27 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young * 19 10-15 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 20 - -
Daniel Theis 27 8-12 0-3 2-3 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 25 1-6 0-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 - -
Coby White 24 2-8 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Lauri Markkanen 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 36 6-19 1-4 4-4 7 2 1 0 17 - -
Ja Morant * 36 5-14 0-1 3-4 3 10 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 34 12-15 0-1 2-2 14 2 0 3 26 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 5-10 4-9 0-0 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 6 4 1 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 4-6 0-1 1-2 9 1 1 1 9 - -
Desmond Bane 16 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Tyus Jones 13 1-4 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
John Konchar 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter