Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (108-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 34 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 16 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 13 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 40 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 3-17 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 22 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 19 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter