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2021-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (107-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 12-22 2-5 8-11 6 6 0 0 34 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 9-18 0-3 5-10 8 2 0 2 23 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 7-14 1-3 1-1 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Marc Gasol * 24 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Wesley Matthews 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Alex Caruso 15 4-7 1-1 1-1 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 13 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 39 8-15 0-0 1-2 11 10 1 1 17 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 8-18 1-3 11-13 6 4 0 2 28 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 10-16 2-4 2-4 7 3 1 0 24 - -
Danny Green * 36 5-11 4-9 0-0 6 1 1 2 14 - -
Seth Curry * 30 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 - -
Shake Milton 20 4-8 0-2 1-1 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 3 0 1 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 10 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Dwight Howard 7 0-0 0-0 0-4 4 0 1 1 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 5 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter