Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 10-17 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 21 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robert Woodard II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 32 | 11-18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 30 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 26 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 26 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon | 17 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Bone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter