Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -10 (106-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 38 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 9-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 28 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 35 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 25 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter