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2021-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 ✓ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - ✓
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (130-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 30 10-18 4-9 6-6 7 0 1 0 30 - -
Ricky Rubio * 25 1-8 0-1 4-4 4 11 1 0 6 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 2 12 - -
Naz Reid * 24 5-16 1-6 0-0 10 1 0 2 11 - -
Josh Okogie * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Edwards 27 4-13 1-3 6-7 3 1 1 0 15 - -
Jaden McDaniels 25 3-9 1-3 0-2 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 22 7-12 1-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 15 - -
Jarrett Culver 14 0-2 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jake Layman 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Ed Davis 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -
Ashton Hagans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 33 11-21 7-12 7-8 4 3 3 0 36 - -
Draymond Green * 30 4-8 1-4 1-1 6 4 1 0 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 10-19 2-5 1-2 6 0 3 3 23 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 27 4-9 2-3 4-5 6 4 3 1 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 19 3-5 0-1 3-4 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 17 2-3 1-2 4-4 4 2 0 1 9 - -
James Wiseman 15 4-5 0-0 5-8 4 0 0 2 13 - -
Kent Bazemore 14 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 5 - -
Mychal Mulder 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Eric Paschall 13 2-10 1-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Nico Mannion 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Poole 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter