Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (113-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 27 | 10-18 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 22 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 11-23 | 3-8 | 10-10 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 6-18 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 29 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 30 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter