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2021-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -16 (103-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 10-21 3-6 1-2 4 5 0 1 24 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 10-21 2-3 4-6 5 2 2 0 26 - -
Daniel Theis * 28 8-12 1-2 2-2 3 3 3 3 19 - -
Marcus Smart * 25 4-6 1-3 4-4 5 11 2 1 13 - -
Tristan Thompson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Teague 22 3-8 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Javonte Green 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 18 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Semi Ojeleye 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 2-4 1-2 1-1 0 0 2 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 10 2-4 2-3 2-3 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Robert Williams III 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 11-19 6-10 2-2 6 3 0 2 30 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 7-12 3-6 1-2 6 1 0 0 18 - -
Coby White * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 10 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Patrick Williams * 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 31 8-11 0-1 0-2 9 9 1 1 16 - -
Garrett Temple 26 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 1 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 25 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 24 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 22 4-8 4-7 1-2 5 3 0 2 13 - -

* = starter