Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 39 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 11-21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 14 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 13-14 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 32 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter