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2021-05-14

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 ✓ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delon Wright * 37 7-15 1-5 0-0 4 8 1 0 15 - -
Chimezie Metu * 34 6-16 4-10 1-2 5 2 1 0 17 - -
Buddy Hield * 34 6-17 4-10 0-0 4 6 1 0 16 - -
Maurice Harkless * 29 1-6 0-3 1-2 3 2 2 1 3 - -
Richaun Holmes * 10 1-5 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 3 3 - -
Justin James 32 12-17 4-5 3-4 4 2 1 0 31 - -
Terence Davis 28 6-13 4-8 0-0 5 4 3 1 16 - -
Damian Jones 23 2-5 0-0 2-4 5 5 0 4 6 - -
Louis King 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 38 5-12 1-5 1-2 7 8 0 0 12 - -
Dillon Brooks * 37 13-28 3-7 1-2 6 3 1 2 30 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 33 8-10 0-0 8-8 13 3 0 1 24 - -
Kyle Anderson * 30 5-6 3-4 1-1 5 9 0 2 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 19 5-11 2-4 0-1 6 2 0 2 12 - -
Desmond Bane 23 2-8 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-7 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 12 - -
De'Anthony Melton 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 - -
Tyus Jones 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter