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2021-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (129-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 41 13-21 2-5 5-6 4 4 1 0 33 - -
John Collins * 37 12-19 6-9 0-0 7 3 0 0 30 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 3-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo * 29 3-6 0-3 1-2 4 7 1 0 7 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 15 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 3 4 - -
Cam Reddish 28 1-8 0-5 3-4 4 1 2 0 5 - -
Solomon Hill 20 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 1 9 - -
Danilo Gallinari 18 4-8 3-6 6-6 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Brandon Goodwin 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 - -
Tony Snell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 9-13 0-2 9-15 14 8 0 1 27 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 9-16 1-6 0-0 8 7 1 0 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 6-13 2-4 1-3 5 5 1 0 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 25 4-8 1-4 0-0 9 5 0 0 9 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 4-6 1-2 3-3 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Bobby Portis 26 9-16 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 21 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 - -
D.J. Augustin 15 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Bryn Forbes 13 3-5 1-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 11 - -

* = starter