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2021-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - ✗
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✗ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 15-25 5-8 4-8 9 1 1 1 39 - -
Terry Rozier * 38 2-10 1-6 2-3 7 4 1 0 7 - -
Devonte' Graham * 34 5-14 3-7 2-2 1 6 0 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 3 2 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 24 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 2 2 1 2 - -
LaMelo Ball 27 4-11 2-4 1-1 5 8 1 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges 24 8-11 2-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 18 - -
Cody Zeller 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 7 4 0 1 4 - -
Caleb Martin 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Clark * 35 4-7 4-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 9-22 2-5 2-2 13 4 0 0 22 - -
Cole Anthony * 32 6-13 2-4 0-0 5 6 1 1 14 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 7-16 3-8 4-7 3 6 1 0 21 - -
James Ennis III * 21 3-7 2-2 0-0 5 2 2 1 8 - -
Terrence Ross 30 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Khem Birch 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 5 - -
Dwayne Bacon 18 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Bone 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter