Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✗ (30.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -25 (108-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 10-17 | 6-9 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 29 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 26 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 18 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rodions Kurucs | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 7-12 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 7 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter