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2021-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% - ✗
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 ✗ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (90-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 28 6-16 0-2 5-8 11 6 2 0 17 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 14-21 2-3 7-9 6 3 2 1 37 - -
Dennis Schroder * 25 3-8 0-2 3-3 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Marc Gasol * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 3 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 3-6 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 22 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 3-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 1-3 0-2 2-3 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Quinn Cook 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 9-23 1-6 2-2 10 4 1 0 21 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 35 5-14 0-5 2-2 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Coby White * 32 5-13 2-4 2-2 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 5-12 2-4 1-2 8 1 0 1 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 2 3 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple 21 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 13 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Tomas Satoransky 11 1-1 1-1 2-4 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Cristiano Felicio 7 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Chandler Hutchison 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter