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2021-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% - ✓
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% - ✓
Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 35 10-20 1-2 12-17 14 1 1 2 33 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 6-14 3-5 2-2 4 0 0 2 17 - -
Ben Simmons * 34 5-7 0-0 10-12 9 7 3 1 20 - -
Danny Green * 31 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 7 - -
Seth Curry * 27 6-11 0-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 14 - -
Shake Milton 21 3-9 1-2 1-1 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Matisse Thybulle 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 2-3 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Dwight Howard 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 5 - -
Tyrese Maxey 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 3-19 2-9 3-4 9 3 2 1 11 - -
Delon Wright * 35 3-8 1-2 3-4 7 6 0 1 10 - -
Wayne Ellington * 28 6-9 4-6 1-2 4 2 2 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 2-5 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 1 7 - -
Saddiq Bey * 19 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Josh Jackson 24 4-8 1-2 2-3 1 2 0 3 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart 19 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 2 8 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 18 4-10 1-3 4-4 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 4-6 3-4 4-6 4 3 1 0 15 - -
Saben Lee 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 - -
Jahlil Okafor 9 3-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter