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2021-04-25

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -7 (113-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 9-17 3-4 0-0 10 2 2 0 21 - -
Ja Morant * 30 8-15 3-4 9-12 8 3 2 0 28 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 5-16 2-5 6-7 8 0 1 2 18 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 3-12 0-4 3-3 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 6-8 2-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 2-7 2-3 2-2 3 6 0 1 8 - -
Justise Winslow 17 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Desmond Bane 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 37 0-7 0-4 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 10-21 4-10 3-3 2 3 0 0 27 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 8-27 4-10 3-3 6 5 1 1 23 - -
Norman Powell * 34 7-15 0-3 3-4 5 4 3 0 17 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 29 6-13 0-0 4-5 19 5 1 2 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony 19 4-13 4-8 0-0 3 0 2 0 12 - -
Enes Kanter 14 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 1 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 12 2-3 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Nassir Little 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter